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« Back to General Discussion 01/04/2023 at 09:40 0 0 #14548 Icon showing author of the current post: pokersmasher pokersmasher
 Posts: 701 Top Contributor

The qualification groups for the Euros are now underway and Scotland famously managed to beat Spain 2-0, their first victory over Spain in nearly 40 years, and now sit on top the group with six points after two games.

The other teams in the group are Norway, Georgia and Cyprus .

Scotland had  previously beaten Cyprus 

Spain had beaten Norway  and Norway had drawn with Georgia.

In a group where there are only eight games for each team to play, four of which are against lowly ranked teams such as Georgia and Cyprus what would you all consider the odds should be for Scotland or Spain to top the group.

Discuss


 All the world's a stage and most of us are desperately unrehearsed. 02/04/2023 at 13:03 0 0 #14554 Icon showing author of the current post: shakinaces shakinaces
 Posts: 181 User


I'd figure Spain to still be favourites, great result for Scotland the other day although you'd figure Spain will be less complacent in their team selection for the return game & potentially win, plus probably have more options to not slip up in the other games... they've also played 1 game vs Norway whilst Haaland was out, something Scotland possibly won't benefit from?


So probably 1/3 Spain win group 3/1 Scotland?

 02/04/2023 at 13:30 1 0 #14556 Icon showing author of the current post: pokersmasher pokersmasher
 Posts: 701 Top Contributor

hi shhakinaces

I always try to consider what the book would look like in advance and you and I would have been on a similar page. The odds available are Spain 1/6 and Scotland 6/1.

Now i may be biased in favour of Scotland however there appears to be real value here and there is at the very least an opportunity for arbitrage here

 All the world's a stage and most of us are desperately unrehearsed. 08/04/2023 at 14:36 0 0 #14567 Icon showing author of the current post: Lithium Lithium
 Posts: 120 User

Scotland 6/1 not bad odds 

 Lithium 17/06/2023 at 21:19 0 0 #14666 Icon showing author of the current post: pokersmasher pokersmasher
 Posts: 701 Top Contributor

Looking a whole lot better now!

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